Former President Trump is talking about flipping conservative states in his already close race with President Biden for the White House.
Trump and Biden are Fight for a handful of crucial battlefields – including Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin And Michigan – but the former president’s campaign claims that traditionally more conservative states are also in play.
In recent weeks, he has targeted Minnesota and Virginia, states that voted against him in both 2016 and 2020 – but some polls now suggest the two states are only a few points apart. The polls would likely have to go even more strongly in Trump’s favor to make those states more realistic, but there are some signs they could be on the table at some point.
Here are seven Democratic-majority states that Trump hopes will turn red in November:
Minnesota
Although the last presidential election in Minnesota was more than half a century ago, Trump has repeatedly touted Minnesota as a state where he can expand his campaign potential on his path to the presidency.
And this could be one of the places he is most likely to pivot if the election results turn seriously in his favor.
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill’s state polling average is based on relatively few polls, but Biden is ahead there by just over half a percentage point. An internal Trump campaign poll conducted behind schedule last month through early this month puts the former president ahead by 3 percentage points, while another independent poll showed Biden ahead by 2 percentage points.
In 2016, Trump nearly won, but lost to Hillary Clinton by less than two percentage points, the narrowest margin of victory for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1984. But in 2020, Biden won by 7 percentage points.
Trump had vowed to win the North Star State in 2020 and said he would “never come back” if he lost it. But Trump returned to the state earlier this month for the Republicans’ Lincoln-Reagan dinner and falsely claimed he won Minnesota in 2016 and 2020.
The Democrats in the state have now brushed aside a possible surprise, Senator Tina Smith (Democrat, Minnesota) CBS to say that Trump is clinging to every straw.
New Hampshire
The Granite State has not elected a Republican presidential candidate since George W. Bush in 2000, but in recent decades the outcome has consistently been one of the closest.
The state was Hillary Clinton’s closest victory in 2016, by less than half a percentage point. Biden was able to significantly boost his lead in 2020 with a 7 percent victory, but polls so far suggest a closer race could be ahead.
The few polls that have been conducted have mostly shown Biden ahead, but only by a few percentage points. The DDHQ/The Hill poll average has him ahead 48.5 percent to 44.5 percent, and a poll this month had him ahead by the same margin.
But another NH Journal/Praecones Analytica poll this month in a three-way race that includes independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. showed Trump narrowly ahead. with 36.6 percent compared to Biden’s 36.5 percentbut within the error tolerance.
Biden has visited New Hampshire several times as part of his campaign, most recently on Tuesday for a Event to announce the PACT Act aims at the health care of veterans.
To break the Democratic trend in the presidential election, Trump may need to pay more attention to the state, but the state has been regularly discussed as a battleground throughout this century.
Virginia
Biden beat Trump in Virginia by almost half a million votes four years ago – and four years before that, the Old Dominion was the only southern state on the side with Clinton.
But this year, the former president has set out to turn the state around back to red.
Chris LaCivita, senior adviser to the Trump campaign, said: NBC News that The Biden campaign is “deliberately playing a false game” in its Ambitions to turn states around like Florida and North Carolina, but argued that the former president “has a real, real chance to expand the map in Virginia and Minnesota.”
The campaign pointed to internal polls that reportedly gave Biden a miniature lead in Virginia. DDHQ/The Hill polling averages showed Biden with a lead of less than two percentage points, at around 46 percent versus 44 percent for Trump.
A Survey conducted for Kennedy’s campaign, outlining how the independent could reach 270 electoral votes, found Trump had a one-point lead over Biden in a head-to-head race in Virginia. to DDHQwhile Kennedy’s presence on the ballot moved the state into Biden’s column.
Maine
Maine is even further down the map for Republican presidential candidates, as no Republican presidential candidate has been elected here since 1988. However, it is not completely inconceivable that there will be a landslide victory.
An omnibus poll by Pan Atlantic Research found Trump leading Biden by 6 percentage points among Maine voters at 38 percent, while Biden reached 32 percent – while “another candidate” reached 21 percent and 9 percent said they were undecided, it was reported (*7*)Spectrum News.
Another poll from the Kennedy-aligned poll last month had Trump less than 2 points ahead of Biden. With Kennedy in the three-candidate race, Biden would win in Maine, according to the Kennedy campaign.
Trump apparently hasn’t talked about winning Maine this election cycle, at least not yet, but he said in August 2020 that he should win the state that year. Biden won by 9 points.
novel York
Trump is on trial in New York in a historic case involving a hush money payment he made during his 2016 election campaign. Nevertheless, he exudes confidence that he can win the deep-blue Empire State in 2024.
“I think we have a chance to win New York. That hasn’t happened in many, many decades. As a Republican, I think we have a very good chance. When you see the crowd, nobody has ever seen this,” Trump said in an interview with “Fox and Friends” that aired Friday after he held a infrequent rally in the Bronx.
“And we’re going to win New York. And when we win New York, the election is over. We’re taking over the country. We’re taking over the country.”
Polls have shown that Biden is ahead, as expected, in New York, where Democrats have voted in presidential elections for more than three decades in a row. novel survey from Siena College Biden’s lead is therefore in the single digits, namely 47 percent compared to 38 percent for Trump.
The 45th president’s event in New York City on Thursday underscored how much he is courting support in the Democratic stronghold. The rally came shortly after appearances in the Democratic states of Minnesota and New Jersey.
New Jersey
The Garden State appears to be another underdog that Trump wants to win in November.
“We’re going to try to win the state of New Jersey. I want people to know that. It’s not just going to be like, ‘Man, maybe we’ll get close.’ We’re going to win,” Trump said. said in a radio interview on NJ101.5.
This is an ambitious goal in a state that Biden has 16 points in the last cycleand that has gone to the Democrats in every presidential campaign since they supported Bill Clinton in 1992.
While there are few polls on how a renewed Trump-Biden election campaign would turn out this time in New Jersey, the former president was nevertheless confident about the possibility of a change of direction.
“As you can see, we are expanding the electoral maps today because we are officially going to play in the state of New Jersey,” Trump told the crowd at a rally on the Jersey Shore earlier this month, as reported by the New Jersey Monitor“We will win the state of New Jersey.”
New Mexico
New Mexico was one of the few states that Trump to Breitbart In January it might have been “stupid” to recruit him, but he planned to do it anyway.
“One of the other things I’m going to do – and it might be a foolish thing to do – is I’m going to run strong for New York, strong for New Jersey, strong for Virginia, strong for New Mexico and strong for a state that hasn’t been won in years: Minnesota,” Trump said.
The Land of Enchantment last elected a Republican president in 2004, and although Trump is in the New Mexico turns red In the last cycle, Biden won in 2020 with around 10 points.
There have been few polls in the state this cycle, but another poll launched by Kennedy shows that Biden’s lead is 7 points in the state.
