Washington (AP) – Political leaders in Washington issue considerable energy for an extended closure of the government, and these efforts include the design of the narrative for the elections next year.
The democratic campaign for house members has taken digital ads in 35 districts, which they consider competitive. The Republicans accuse the ads of “intentionally standing in the way of affordable health care”. The advertisements correspond to the democratic insistence on the fact that their health concerns are addressed as part of a government law, and the Republicans have rejected the Republicans. A democratically oriented group, House majority striker, also started an advertising campaign of $ 3 million in 10 republican districts.
The Republican campaign organization from House has launched two digital ads in swing districts. “It is sabotage. Democrats threaten to close the government to stop President Trump’s policy. Like Trump’s action against MS-13 and violent criminals,” says one of the advertisements. In the meantime, two conservative interest groups, one nation and American Action Network, advertises in the markets in New York and Washington announced. “The Woke Mob has requested a government final,” says the advertisement. “This is exactly what liberals do in the congress.”
With tight margins who find out who controls every congress chamber, the two parties cannot afford to have chance when it comes to winning the messaging campaign of the shutdown. However, the recent history suggests that there is reason to doubt that the switch -off in the 2026 elections will be a factor.
The Republicans won BIG after they forced a shutdown in 2013
The closure in October 2013, which lasted 16 full days, is the exhibition A. The Republicans demanded significant changes to the signed health law of democratic president Barack Obama in exchange for the financing of the government and the Ministry of Finance, which to provide the ability to pay the state’s legislative provisions.
Doug Heye, who acted as deputy chief of staff of the then majority leader Eric Cantor, R-VA, remembers the GOP leadership, which is worried about the political effects. However, many in the ranking were convinced of a few GOP senators that they had a profit hand and were able to operate a shutdown as a lever to roll back parts of the Affordable Care Act, he said.
“Basically, we said when this is what these boys want, they will touch the stove, they are burned and find out that they don’t. This is not the intelligent course,” said Heye.
This is pretty much what happened. The Republicans gave up when surveys showed that the GOP was bad. But it didn’t take long for the public to continue.
A little more than a year later, the Republicans achieved great victories in the ballot box. They collected 13 seats in the house and expanded their already significant majority. They also collected nine seats in the Senate and confiscated the majority.
Heye said that the choice was a lesson that the election failure will probably be minimal if a switch -off at a personal level will have the voters at a personal level.
“The voters tend to have short memories. Whoever accused them of, they have passed into one or two or 10 things in the course of a year,” said Heye.
The longest shutdown is more arduous to assess
The election results were mixed after the partial switch-off down 2018-2019, which lasted 35 days.
Republican President Donald Trump insisted that a financing law includes billions of dollars for his border wall into the USA-Mexico. The Democrats of the Senate refused to make themselves. The closure ended when democratic leaders had insisted that he first reopened the government and then spoke border security.
Trump would lose against Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. But this race occurred during a Covid 19 pandemic, which was clearly at the front and the center for voters. The Democrats would win three seats in the Senate to make a 50:50 draw and the majority with Vice President Kamala Harris, the Tiebreaker. But the Republicans accepted seats in the house, although many had expected that the Democrats would expand their majority.
While the latest expanded activities interpret a confined influence on the subsequent elections, it is a miniature sample size. A lengthy and painful shutdown could change the dynamics.
The relatively low amount of money dedicated to advertising purchases also signals that the two parties observe larger battles in advance. Nevertheless, the ads enhance topics that both parties expect to emphasize in the intermediate times.
In the advertising bar it is health care for immigration
For Democrats, health care as millions of people in the United States next year is more high-priced health insurance protection if the congress does not extend tax credits, the insurance premiums for those who acquire the marketplaces defined by “Obamacare”. Millions would also lose cover by the up-to-date work requirements and other changes that Republicans made in Trump’s package of tax breaks and spending cuts, even though the work requirements only begin in 2027.
Washington, Suzan Delben, the chairman of the democratic campaign arm, said that No. 1 problem is affordable in the whole country.
“Look, in the future people see prices when Donald Trump promised to lower prices on the 1st day. It is a big, great promise of the Republicans,” she said. “And we have candidates who have races to work for their communities. It’s a big reason why we will win next year.”
The Republicans operate the shutdown to give immigration. A topic that you believe that it is in power in Washington last year.
“Say Democrats, do not keep the government hostage to put illegals in front of us,” says the digital advertisement of the National Republican Congress Committee.
Immigrants who are illegal in the USA are not entitled to federal health programs, including insurance companies, which are provided for by overhauling Obama Health and Medicaid. And Democrats say they don’t want to change that.
In the two youngest expanded closures, the Republicans searched for changes in government policy to keep the government open. This time it is democratic legislators.
In an explanation, North Carolina, Richard Hudson, chairman of the Republican campaign, said to keep the government open to ensure the government to ensure critical funds and salary checks for employees and service members who were delivered in time. He called the shutdown “wasteful and unnecessary”.
“The blame for this ruthless decision and the damage they will cause rest directly with the Democrats and it will cost their places next November,” said Hudson.
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