The fallout from President Biden’s disastrous debate performance is still being felt. Democrats are terrified, members of Trump’s re-election team are walking around with massive grins on their faces, and former President Trump himself is simply standing by and watching Biden’s campaign destroy itself.
Now, a series of polls following the debate are throwing another bag of combustible waste onto the Dumpster fire at Biden’s election campaign.
According to Real Clear Politics, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in 11 of 12 national polls conducted after the momentous June 27 debate. Survey Tracker– although polls are divided on whether a possible Biden successor would beat the president against Trump.
Some special features:
- Trump is 3.3 points ahead of Biden in “Real Clear Politics” Survey Trackeran augment of 1.8 points in Trump’s favor since the debate, and is 1.6 points higher in FiveThirtyEights Survey Tracker.
- Trump is three points ahead of Biden in the latest poll Emerson Collegerecorded on July 7 and 8, and is two points ahead in Morning Consults Weekly survey.
- Trump is six points ahead of Biden in a New York Times/Siena College poll Opinion poll The poll, conducted Friday through Tuesday, showed a three-percentage-point gain in Trump’s favor since a poll a week earlier and Trump’s largest lead in a poll of these groups since launching his first presidential campaign in 2015.
- A Wall Street Journal Opinion poll A post-debate poll also showed Biden trailing Trump by six points. This is Trump’s largest lead over Biden in the Journal’s polls in a two-way race since 2021, and Trump’s lead has increased by four points since February.
- A follow-up debate by CBS/YouGov Opinion poll A poll in the seven crucial swing states that are likely to determine the election winner showed Trump three points ahead of Biden, after trailing by one point last month.
This is unfortunate for Biden’s campaign, but these polls appear to be national exit polls, which are fascinating, but that’s not how we elect presidents.
See also: Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer breaks her silence on Biden’s successor in 2024
CNN host Harry Enten refutes Biden’s latest election delusion
Despite all the protestations of election analysts, there is no such thing as the “national popular vote.” I’ll tell you three times: There is no such thing. It is a statistical oddity and nothing more. Presidential elections are a series of 51 individual elections, the states and the District of Columbia, and so we must study those states to get an idea of what is going on.
One of these key states is Wisconsin, where Trump lost in 2020 – but is now ahead in the polls. extend its lead.
In the key swing state of Wisconsin, Joe Biden is six percentage points behind Donald Trump, with older voters leaning Republican, according to a post-debate AARP poll released Tuesday.
While Democrats are grappling with internal disputes over the president’s age and suitability for office following his disastrous performance at the debate less than two weeks ago, the poll shows Trump leading the poll with 44 percent of the vote, ahead of Biden’s 38 percent.
It’s worth remembering that Wisconsin is critical to Biden’s re-election, but probably not to Trump’s. Everyone on Biden’s re-election team should be very concerned about this.
Again, it’s wise not to put too much stock in individual polls. It’s all about averages and trends, and it’s too early after the debate to really know exactly how this event and all of Joe Biden’s back-and-forth since then have affected the race. In about a week, it will be time to take another close look at post-debate trends – so stay tuned!
