On Sunday, there will be 100 days until the polls, which have already been turbulent, and the question arises as to what the next few months will bring.
In less than a month, the presidential campaign has already been rocked by a series of shocking twists, including President Biden’s dismal debate Performancethe murder attempt against the decision of Donald Trump and Biden to withdraw and support Vice President Harris.
Now all eyes will be on how the next three months unfold. Here’s what to watch for in the final 100 days of the race:
Who will Harris choose as vice president?
Harris is gaining support from Democratic officials and delegates and is likely to become her party’s nominee. Much of the attention is now focused on who she will choose as her running mate.
The test materials were requested by politicians such as Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (D), (*100*) Senator Mark Kelly (D), Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear (D), and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (D).
Whoever is elected will face, at least indirectly, Senator JD Vance (R-Ohio), Trump’s running mate, on the Republican side, albeit not on stage in a debate whose date has not yet been set.
Beshear is perhaps one of the best known Fighting dogs Biden officially resigned on Sunday and called Vance a “hypocrite” who was not “one of us.” By this he meant the people of Appalachia, the geographical region around the Appalachian Mountains. Kentucky and Ohio are located next to each other.
Kelly also attacked Vance for his stance on the Russia-Ukraine war and his comments from 2021: appeared again in which he claimed that the country was ruled by “childless cat ladies”.
Democratic strategists said several of the names being considered would be mighty candidates who would support expand the party’s map and score points in key states like Pennsylvania. Each of the top names appears to be a more moderate candidate who could potentially bring more ideological balance to the ballot.
“Any of these candidates will bring new voters with them, while the selection of Vance has done the opposite,” said Democratic strategist Jeff Rusnak, arguing that Vance only appeals to more “extreme” conservatives.
Are Trump and Harris debating?
Biden’s destitute performance in one of the most consequential presidential debates in U.S. history sparked a series of developments that led Biden to drop out of the race. While the Biden and Trump campaigns had already agreed to participate in a second debate on ABC in September, plans for that or other events appear to be in limbo.
The Biden team had previously stated that Harris had accepted an invitation from CBS News to a vice presidential debate in August. The Trump team rejected have not yet set a date, although there is still uncertainty about who will be on the Democratic ticket.
Since the change from Biden to Harris, Trump has scolded against ABC’s choice to host the presidential debate, accusing the network of bias and being “unworthy” of a debate. He added, however, that he hopes for “many” debates and suggested that Fox News should host the next one.
Still, the Trump team said Thursday it would not schedule a debate with Harris until Democrats have “formally” chosen their nominee. That could happen as early as early next month, when the Democratic National Committee resumes its virtual roll call ahead of the convention.
Harris has replied She said she was “ready to go” and accused Trump of “backing out” after he had already agreed to participate.
“I agreed to the debate on September 10th that was already agreed to. He already agreed to that,” Harris told reporters. “Now he’s backtracking, and I’m ready, and I think voters deserve to see the divided view that exists in this race on a debate stage, and so I’m ready. Let’s go.”
Are the polls changing?
For most of the 2024 election cycle leading up to the debate, polling between Trump and Biden remained largely stagnant. Just before the debate, the two candidates were virtually tied in national polls, while Trump led by a few points in the key swing states that will likely decide the election.
After Biden withdrew, election models, including those from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, were deactivated to wait for more data that would allow for better analysis of the current state of the race. Democrats rallied around Harris in the wake of an assassination attempt on Trump, the Republican National Convention and an incumbent president who decided not to run for re-election, closer to Election Day than in any other cycle in current U.S. history.
Since nominating conventions usually also lead to a short-term improvement in a candidate’s poll ratings, several crucial events occur simultaneously that could influence the election campaign – with an uncertain outcome.
“You thought this was going to be a sleepy fight between two cranky old men, and now it’s a heated race again,” said Republican strategist Matthew Bartlett. “Nothing has changed, but everything has changed.”
Some early polls have shown signs of optimism for Harris and the Democrats. Polls have suggested Harris is making some gains over Trump in key states compared to Biden.
Polls released Friday also showed more comfortable leads in traditionally Democratic states. New Hampshire And Mainewhich Republicans had targeted when Biden ran into trouble.
The Trump campaign’s polling institute published a memo On Tuesday, he argued that Harris would experience a fleeting boost in the polls due to a “Harris honeymoon” period in which she is constantly mentioned in the media. He said that boost would last until the race has settled down and the “fundamentals” of the race have not changed.
While Democrats are aware that the race will still be close, they are confident after the change.
“I think we’ve seen that it’s going to be an enormously close race,” said Democratic strategist Justin Barasky. “I don’t think that’s changed. I don’t think anyone, especially on the campaign trail, would say otherwise, but it’s clear that Republicans are worried, and I’d rather be us than them.”
Are there any other surprises?
As speedy as Election Day is approaching, it’s still more than three months away. Labor Day, the customary day when the election reaches its final stretch, isn’t even here yet. As confused as the last month has been, it’s not inconceivable that more could happen that will shape the 2024 election.
When Biden was still in the race, he and Trump were considered the two oldest major party candidates in history. This means that both were at least somewhat more likely than normal to drop out of the race due to a health incident. This continues to be true for Trump, who is now the oldest candidate in history.
After the shooting at Trump’s rally, members of both parties called for more moderate rhetoric to defuse the political atmosphere. But since then, both sides have sharply attacked their opponents, signaling a return to an atmosphere that both sides apparently recognized could lead to more political violence.
Meanwhile, both campaign teams are trying to adapt to the recent political reality. Harris was already on the ballot, but is now preparing for a presidential bid that she has just 100 days to complete.
Trump has been in the race for more than a year and a half, but now he must change his message and focus on Harris instead of Biden.
Republican strategist Nicole Schlinger said Harris is not an “unknown quantity” because of her time as vice president, allowing the Republican Party to leverage what is already known about her in the election campaign.
“All the research has already been done, so we are not starting from scratch,” she said.
“Will Kamala Harris at the top of a ballot change the states that are in the race and maybe where we spend some of our voter outreach resources?” she added. “I think some of those decisions will be carefully analyzed, but in terms of the overall message and direction of the campaign, she’s already a known factor.”
