For weeks now, the mainstream media has been working overtime to promote the theory that the momentum of the presidential campaign is in the hands of Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris, perhaps believing that their “Baghdad Bob”-style cheerleading and reporting have had the desired effect.
But as has often been said, the devil is in the details. And those details show that Harris ultimately failed to win in many of the swing states where she has spent most of her time since being nominated.
As my RedState colleague Nick Arama reported on Tuesday, “There could be a major shift underway. There has been a clear move back toward former President Donald Trump in some polls in recent days.”
“The reality of Kamala Harris’ inner emptiness seems to be sinking in, and it looks like her evasion of questions may now backfire,” Nick also noted.
READ MORE: The results of the Quinnipiac poll are in and bring devastating news for Kamala Harris
This must be confirmed new survey According to Susquehanna Polling and Research, Harris and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump are now neck and neck in the crucial state of Pennsylvania.
What is particularly significant about this poll is how they found that Harris was four points ahead in July – today that is no longer the case:
BREAKING. SP&R, in conjunction with @La_Torre_Livetoday released its latest PA poll on the presidential race. We now show a statistical tie – 46% to 46%. The last poll in behind schedule July showed Harris +4 (47:43).
Field dates 16.9.-22.9.
Sample size 700 LV
MoE of +/-3.7% pic.twitter.com/CKPbXB2JFv— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) 25 September 2024
Another major blow to the Harris-Walz campaign was that Trump has made “significant” progress on economic and inflation issues. The polling firm even described the former president as having “de facto closed the bag” with Pennsylvania voters who consider these issues to be the most critical:
In SP&R’s latest Pennsylvania poll, Trump leads 57-34 among voters who choose “inflation/economy,” a significant improvement from the 50-38 lead he had in behind schedule July. Inflation is ranked as the most influential by 45% of the top eight issues. Trump has effectively “made a deal” with voters who choose the economy.
— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) 25 September 2024
That must be devastating for Harris, Walz and their advisers, who have made many trips to Pennsylvania over the past two months to visit gas stations, partisan spice shops and union halls. The presidential debate was also held in Pennsylvania. As I write, she is in Pittsburgh giving what has been billed as a “major speech on the economy,” and one can easily imagine her doing so to reverse Trump’s gains.
Will it work? As is often the case, it will likely come down to what independent voters decide. As it stands now, Harris and Trump are virtually tied with this core voting bloc:
In SP&R’s latest Pennsylvania poll, Trump leads Republicans 91-3, while Harris leads Democrats 88-4. Independent voters are split 44-43, and as they’re trending, so is Pennsylvania! According to post-election polls, Trump lost Indiana (to Biden) 52-44 in 2020.
— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) 25 September 2024
For the latest data on poll changes in Pennsylvania over the past few weeks, see Click here. And stay tuned to RedState as we track and document all the latest developments.
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