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Momentum Swing: Trump improves by four points in Yahoo News/YouGov poll since Vance-Walz debate

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A month ago, after his debate against the Democrat appointed In a September Yahoo News/YouGov poll, Donald Trump trailed candidate Kamala Harris by four percentage points among likely voters, 49 percent to 45 percent, behind the vice president.

Times are changing.

In their latest surveyYahoo/YouGov has the two in a dead heat with 47 percent of likely voters each. That’s a pretty massive swing:

Kamala had a brief honeymoon after her unexpectedly less-than-terrible debate performance against the former president in September, but that shock appears to be over. Since that debate, Trump’s vice presidential nominee has faced off against Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and wiped the floor with him, giving the ticket even more momentum. Meanwhile, Kamala has failed to impress in the few interviews she gives, and her meaningless word salads have become internet comedy gold.


Related: NEW POLL: Kamala Harris won the debate – but it was Trump who gained a point in voter support

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The party could be over for the “Weird Ticket”:

Other numbers from the poll show that the more the public gets to know Kamala Harris, the less they like her:

Two other numbers suggest that this pattern reflects actual (albeit modest) movement in the presidential campaign.

First, Harris’ favorable rating rose from 47% in August to 49% after the presidential debate in September; today it has fallen back to 46%. Harris’ negative rating has now risen to 49%.

But wait, there’s more! Other numbers weren’t that good for Harris either:

Just over a quarter of Americans (27%) say the U.S. is heading in the right direction, while 60% say the country is on the wrong track…

However, Harris’ job approval rating was nine percentage points lower (41% approve, 50% disapprove), while Trump’s assessment of his four years in office was almost even (47% approve, 48% disapprove). .

As we always say: polls are just polls, and there’s only one that matters – and that’s November 5th. However, it is vital to note that the 2016 and 2020 polls underestimated Trump’s support; If they get this wrong again, expect a huge Trump victory.

But hey, Kamala can always attend more sex podcasts and overdue night comedy shows to improve her chances:

It’s still a long way from the Fat Lady singing, but if I were on Team Kamala I’d be wiping the sweat from my brow right now. There just seems to be a lot of evidence that voters have heard enough giggles and chatter and want a real leader.


More–> Trump storms forward in Philly – Did Harris lose the workers’ election?

New swing state polling data and key dates point to massive problems for Harris

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