A novel Emerson poll has been released and it shows, among other things, a significant augment in approval for President-elect Donald Trump (still not tired of typing that) and also for his Cabinet picks. Some other data in this survey is intriguing – and confusing – to say the least.
Firstly, the incoming figures from the Trump administration:
Emerson College’s first post-election poll showed President-elect Donald Trump’s popularity rating at 54%, up six points from his own Preference before the election of 48%. President Joe Biden has an approval rating of 36% in Emerson polls, the president’s lowest level in four years, while his disapproval rating is steady at 52%.
“Trump’s popularity varies significantly by gender, race and age,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Trump’s strongest age cohort is voters ages 40 to 59, with 60% viewing him favorably compared to 48% of those 70 and older. Its popularity has particularly increased among younger voters, with 55% of those under 30 expressing a positive opinion. ”
- Men view Trump most positively at 61%, compared to 48% of women.
- 59% of white voters view Trump favorably, as do 53% of Hispanic voters and 28% of black voters.
This appears to be consistent with pre-election numbers, although Trump’s overall positive ratings have increased. This is nothing unusual, after the election, when the mudslinging in the election campaign is over and in the low time before the mudslinging begins in everyday life.
For the 2028 election, Republicans overwhelmingly favor JD Vance as their candidate, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis a distant second. The Democrats favor Kamala Harris – let’s hope they never learn their lesson – followed by some distance by California Governor Gavin Newsom.
The president-elect’s cabinet decisions are also generally approved.
Voters were asked whether they support or oppose Trump’s Cabinet nominations:
- Marco Rubio (nominee for Secretary of State) 45% in favor, 32% against
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (nominee for Secretary of Health and Human Services) 47% favor, 40% oppose
- Tulsi Gabbard (nominee for Director of National Intelligence) 40% favor, 33% oppose
- Dr. Mehmet Oz (nominee for Medicare and Medicaid Administrator) 41% favor, 37% oppose
Some other critical topics:
When asked, “What do you think is the most important issue facing the United States?” economics and immigration dominated the answers. While the Cabinet picks listed above were largely positive, the results for Pete Hegseth and Tulsi Gabbard were more evenly split: Hegseth came in at 20.9 percent with “strong support” and 15.7 percent with “somewhat support,” versus 24.9 Percent with “strong rejection”. and 28.9 percent “no opinion/unsure.” Tulsi Gabbard came to similar results: 22.6 percent “strongly support” and 17 percent “somewhat support,” 25 percent “strongly oppose” and 27.3 percent “no opinion/unsure.”
See related: Top pollster goes out of business after spectacularly misreading election poll
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A novel poll shows what Democratic voters think about Kamala Harris’ 2028 candidacy, and it’s hilarious
But here’s where things get…intriguing.
A majority of registered voters, 39%, believe there will be another world war, while 26% do not believe there will be another world war. 35 percent are not sure.
- 46% of Harris voters think another world war is likely, compared to 33% of Trump voters.
Well, it’s likely that there will be another global war at some point. But the question doesn’t seem to be about “when.” The question is simply, “Do you think there will be another world war?” If I were to ask that, I would say yes, but it could happen next year – or it could happen in two hundred years. But the breakdown by party is intriguing; Could it be that Democrats are self-aware enough to realize that Joe Biden is on the verge of plunging us into conflict with Russia?
Then, aliens:
37 percent of voters believe aliens have visited Earth, an augment of 12 percentage points from 2022. 36 percent do not believe that aliens have visited Earth, up from 39 percent in 2022.
- 41% of Trump voters believe Earth has been visited by aliens, compared to 32% of Harris voters.
Again, the question is simply, “Do you believe Earth has been visited by aliens?” There is no evidence of recent visits by extraterrestrial intelligence agencies, but again the question is not asked “when.” It would be more intriguing to ask, “Do you believe the Earth existed?” recently visited by aliens?” Such a visit, let’s say, in the Silurianwould certainly not leave any traces today.
You can view all the results of this survey Here.
