What is certain about the 2024 election cycle is that it will be studied, debated and analyzed for years to come in terms of what went wrong for Democrats and what went wrong for Republicans, particularly President-elect Donald Trump and his spectacular policies. went right. Come back.
This was something few of his critics saw, even though polls showed first a media-driven shift toward Vice President Kamala Harris after she became the Democratic presidential nominee, and then a close race in which Trump broke through in early October , not long into his campaign, he ran ads about Harris’ extreme stance against taxpayers who foot the bill for transgender surgeries for convicted, incarcerated criminals, including illegal immigrants.
READ MORE: More about the ad that changed everything and Trump’s extremely timely reminder that Twitter isn’t real life
One person who wasn’t swayed by the various (false) narratives about Trump’s campaign and his chances was CNN data analyst Harry Enten, who, as we reported, repeatedly pointed out that Trump was making headway with the Democrats’ conventional voting blocks on a scale not seen by previous Republican candidates, and how this could ultimately be the deciding factor in deciding who won on Election Day.
Among them were newborn voters, female voters, black and Hispanic voters, and Asian American voters.
On Thursday, Enten dug deep into the numbers again, looking beyond the areas Trump won to big blue cities like San Francisco and Chicago that he lost but where he still gained significant ground. find which ones Pretty staggering double-digit percentage increases across the board, with illegal immigration and crime being the driving forces in these cities:
“You remember, in 2017, the liberal cities were ‘the resistance,’ the core of the ‘resistance.'” “What happened in 2024? Think of a major city in the United States where Donald Trump has delivered the best Republican performance in at least 20 years, if not the entire 21st century.” “We’re talking Chicago, Los Angeles, New York City, San Francisco, all over the map, Donald Trump has put up historically strong numbers for a Republican presidential candidate in places that, quite frankly, if you had asked me eight years ago, “I would never have thought possible.”
After pointing out that Democrats’ attitudes toward fighting crime had changed dramatically from 2014 to 2024 – to Trump’s advantage – Enten then pointed to New York City in particular as an example of the dramatic changes in support for Trump:
“You know, look, obviously we’re sitting here in New York talking about this, in Manhattan, where there’s been a turnaround. But if you look at the map of New York City, the largest city in the country, you see the big swings. “Right, yes, it was in Manhattan, but it was in other parts of the city too,” Burnett said. “And that gives you a real sense of who was driving the ship.”
“Yes, exactly right. It was in the Bronx, it was in Queens, it was in Brooklyn, and when you break it down by racial area, you look at the assembly district where most Asians live, you see a huge shift, a huge shift,” said he. “Look at this. Donald Trump gains 27 points compared to four years ago. The highest Hispanic percentage in a voting district, a shift of 25 points. Highest percentage of black in any constituency, a shift of 6 points. What’s up? If 2017 or 2016 was the election of working-class whites switching to the Republican ranks, Trump did historically well with minority voters in the 2024 election.”
Regard:
Trump’s campaign performance in major cities was simply incredible. The strongest for a Republican presidential candidate in over 20 years from coast to coast.
These increases were driven by dissatisfaction with crime, immigration and inflation, particularly among minorities, particularly Asians and Hispanics. pic.twitter.com/h442IiJprP
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) November 14, 2024
Although candidates who were not elected may sometimes have to approach things slightly differently due to the demographics in their respective races, Republicans seeking public office (or re-election) should look to the Trump campaign’s strategy as a blueprint of sorts in the future Their respective campaigns are using their candidacy. One way to do this is to not assume that all voters in certain voting blocs agree on crucial issues, since times—and voters’ priorities—are clearly changing.
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