Vice President Kamala Harris has taken the lead over former President Donald Trump in several national polls, marking a remarkable turnaround in what has already been an eventful 2024 presidential campaign. According to a modern survey According to a Marquette Law School poll conducted July 24-August 1, Harris leads Trump by eight percentage points among likely voters when third-party candidates are included, with Harris at 50 percent and Trump at 42 percent.
This is a significant improvement over the Democrats’ position in May, when Biden was three percentage points behind Trump.
The poll also shows Harris’ lead in a head-to-head comparison. Among registered voters, “Harris is the candidate for president with the support of 52 percent of registered voters, while Trump is the choice of 48 percent,” the Marquette Law School poll says.
This trend is not constrained to a single survey. A previous report explained several different surveys shows how Harris leads her opponent.
According to the polling website “Race to the WH” (White House), which analyzed 128 national opinion polls, Harris was ahead in the national poll average until last Friday. According to the poll, Harris would have 47 percent and Trump 46.9 percent.
The polls showing Harris ahead were conducted by poll aggregator 538: YouGov/CBS News, RMG Research, The Economist and Daily Kos/Civiqs.
According to YouGov/CBS News, Harris is leading with 49 percent, compared to Trump’s 47 percent. The poll surveyed 3,102 registered voters between July 30 and August 2. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.
RMG Research, which conducted its poll of 3,000 registered voters between July 29 and 31, found that Harris has a 47 percent lead to Trump’s 42 percent.
The Economist/YouGov puts Harris at 46 percent and Trump at 44 percent. The poll, conducted from July 27 to 30, surveyed 1,610 people, including 1,434 registered voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.
The daily newspaper Kos/Civiqs estimates Harris at 49 percent and Trump at 45 percent. The researchers surveyed 1,123 registered voters between July 27 and 30. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.
Not all polls are in Harris’ favor. At the time of writing this article RealClearSurvey On average, she is just one point ahead of Trump. It’s also worth noting that the Marquette study only surveyed 800 people nationwide. Rasmussen’s most recent poll, conducted after Harris announced Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate, also found Trump five points ahead of the vice president.
These numbers don’t look good for Trump, who has been enjoying mighty popularity in the polls, especially since the assassination. However, it’s worth noting that Harris’ popularity is due in vast part to the expected surge in polls after she was named the nominee and her running mate was announced. There’s a good chance the honeymoon phase will soon be over and the numbers could even out.
The amount of fundraising is also an crucial factor. Harris has raised around $310 million so far, while Trump only raised $140 million in July.
Still, it would be unwise for the right to ignore this data. Harris enjoys considerable support.
The former president’s team appears to understand the situation, according to a report published on Thursday by The Washington PostWhile Republicans were confident of victory after the assassination, Harris’s good numbers caused them to soften their course.
Some of Trump’s allies acknowledged that modern obstacles had arisen. “We’ve hit some speed bumps,” said Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC).
Trump spokesman Steven Cheung expressed optimism despite the setbacks. “The Trump campaign has never taken anything for granted and we always fight like we are the underdogs,” he told the Washington Post.
Harris’ campaign is currently dominating the news, which is an expected development since she has only just been officially announced as the nominee. The vice president has also adopted a strategy of positive messaging rather than relying solely on attacks on her opponent. In addition, she is desperately avoiding the press and all unplanned encounters while holding rallies and playing to her strengths. The media have complied with this request and have not said a single critical word about her obvious efforts to avoid them.
Now is the time for Team Trump to find a way to disrupt Harris’s advance, rather than wait for it to die down on its own. There’s still plenty of time until November. If the right wants to secure the White House, it needs to get sedate about attacking Harris on substance and policy, rather than focusing excessively on side issues.
