We’ve already discussed how Vice President Kamala Harris doesn’t appear to have the same union support as President Joe Biden. We’ve seen this play out in different ways: unions like the Teamsters and the International Association of Firefighters chose not to support Harris, while they typically support Democratic candidates. The Teamsters poll data showed that every state went for Trump over Harris, including every swing state and even blue states.
This is a substantial problem for Harris, especially in the Rust Belt states that she desperately needs.
READ MORE: First there was the Teamsters poll,
Now there are even more Union members for Trump
CNN’s Harry Enten has very bad union news for Harris,
Surveys show how much trouble she is in
Teamsters boss to the Democrats: “You fooled us”
Now there are more reports confirming that she has a problem.
First, there are internal Wisconsin polls on Senator Tammy Baldwin’s campaign.
An internal Democratic poll Tammy Baldwin’s Senate campaign last week saw Harris fall by three percentage points in Wisconsin, while Baldwin gained two points, according to a person familiar with the poll. The person said much of the restriction was due to Republican strength among men without college degrees. Public polls have shown Harris with a slight lead in the state.
Cook Political has now turned Baldwin’s campaign from a lean Democratic candidate to a “tie.” If Trump manages to eke out a victory, with some setbacks from Trump, it could lead to an unexpected Senate victory for Eric Hovde.
That wasn’t the only good news. There was also the Democracy Institute Opinion poll. This puts Trump +3 ahead in the national popular vote. He is ahead in PA +4, Wisconsin +2 and Michigan +1.
🚨 Latest polls from Democracy Institute:
🔴 NATIONAL: Trump+3
🔴 PENNSYLVANIA: Trump+4
🔴 WISCONSIN: Trump+2
🔴 MICHIGAN: Trump+1
🔵 VIRGINIA: Harris+2
🔵 NEW HAMPSHIRE: Harris+2
🔵 MINNESOTA: Harris+4Your campaign is freaking out.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 8, 2024
The poll also found that half of voters would vote for Trump in the upcoming election, while 47 percent supported Harris.
In the key battleground state of Pennsylvania, voters also favored Trump: half supported the former president, while 46 percent chose Harris.
The results also showed Trump narrowly defeating Harris in the swing state of Michigan by one percentage point. In Wisconsin, 48 percent of people preferred the Republican, while 46 percent supported Harris.
If that’s true and it holds up, that’s probably the game.
But beyond that, there are the blue states that were supposed to be considered sheltered that have now tightened, and two of them appear to be within the margin of error.
In both Virginia and New Hampshire, 47 percent of voters backed Harris while 45 percent supported Trump.
It’s possible that Trump could conquer a place like Virginia with one night of momentum.
So more movement in the right direction. Hold your hat and encourage as many people as possible to get out and vote. Let’s make sure of it.
