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Problems for Johnson on Trump Budget Bill

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Spokesman Mike Johnson (R-La.) Achieved a significant victory on Tuesday evening when he brought the household resolution of the GOP house through the chamber in a muscle Breathtaking – and dramatic – voteAt the last minute a trio of difficult conservative holdouts turn around to win.

But that was just the beginning.

With the budgetary decision “One Big, Beautiful Bill” adopted in the house, Johnson is now staring down a number of high-stakes night steps that the Republican efforts could take to take precedence over President Trump-and a stormy route for the speaker.

“We took a necessary step, but there are many miles ahead of us”, Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas) wrote on x.

First, the Republicans of the Republicans have to reconcile with the Senate’s GOP conference approved his own budget decision Last week this used a two-track strategy. A number of senators have also determined the demands for significant changes to the house abandonment, which could make the GOP efforts tough to achieve a compromise.

Then Johnson will have the task of moving this consensus solution through the house, which can be tough if, as expected, significant changes to the measure are made.

“As little as possible,” said Johnson when he was asked how many changes the house can endure. “We have a very miniature needle that we can thread here, and we have a kind of balance between people with competing priorities, and we have a kind of equilibrium point [if] We wipe too much from the fact that we have a problem. “

Finally, Johnson, the majority leader of the Senate John Thune (Rs.d.) and their management teams, have to fill out the specific political details for the legislative template within the parameters that are set in the budget.

In his part, Johnson was over the way in front of us and said reporters on Tuesday evening after the vote: “There is no need to do a lot of work.”

These efforts are already underway.

Thune said reporters on Wednesday: “There are some things that we have to extend with the House package”, whereby an agreement on tax cuts has probably come across this agenda.

Mike Crapo (R-IDAHO) of the Finance Committee of the Financial Committee of Thune and the Senate contributed a group of Republicans of the Senate at the beginning of this month and announced that they will only support one package that contains a lasting expansion of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts and has drawn a line in the sand to one of the most thorny and pricey parts of the legislative press.

However, the household decision of the house places an upper limit of $ 4.5 trillion on the effects of a GOP plan of $ 4.5 trillion to extend the 2017 tax cuts, as many Hardline Republicans demand that the package are deficit-neutral. However, the most vital legislators have doubts that this number will be sufficient to cover the costs unless Budget -Gimmicks are used.

The chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, Jason Smith (R-Mo.), Has led a report on the budget (Congess Budget Office) (CBO), for example, in which the extension of tax cuts for a decade would cost more than $ 4.7 trillion.

Crapo said on Wednesday that he is already working on “adjustments” on the instructions of the house.

“Now the work here begins,” he said reporters. “We will start working on what we have to do. Now that we know the house numbers on the … cuts that you have given in your instructions, and now that we know where you are … On the baseline, we will start with our adjustments. “

Johnson and Thune met with Trump and some members of his business team in the White House on Wednesday to discuss their way forward to reconciliation. After that, the spokesman reported “a lot of progress”. He also said it was the “goal” of the house to make tax cuts permanently.

“We continue. There is a close unit between the house and the Senate about the mission and the goals and what we have to achieve in the coming weeks, “added Johnson later and later said:” Everyone is completely on the mission and the goal and what we will do, and we feel very bullish in all of this. “

Another concern that some senators have with the household solution of the house are potential cuts for medicaid, similar to the concerns of the moderate of the house. The measure of the lower chamber directs the energy and trade committee, which is responsible for Medicaid, to find reductions at least 880 billion US dollars.

“I will not vote for Medicaida cuts,” said Senator Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) And pointed out to the high percentage of his voters, who benefit from the Medicaid or Pediatric Health Insurance Program (chip). “It has to be changed. I know that there are many people on our site who want a number of changes. “

Trump repeated on Wednesday that he didn’t want to “touch” Medicaid when he fraud to avoid. Johnson repeated the same message.

However, the Republicans of the Hardline House Republican warn that they will not endure an expenditure operation under the levels set in their budget resolution, which contains a floor of 1.5 trillion US dollars for spending cuts with a target of 2 trillion US dollars.

“I was thinking about it,” said Rep. Scott Perry (R-Pa.), A member of the conservative House Freedom Caucus, when asked if he would accept a lower floor. “If we wanted to have stupid ideas, we would have primarily wrote them. That’s why we wrote our invoice. “

Some Republicans of the Hardline house are already raising lines in the sand, which guidelines they want to see in the final calculation, a reality that could cause headaches for guidance in the street as soon as they start producing the package.

Roy, who played a key role in negotiating a conservative change in the household decision of the house, said his voice to adopt the measure, “depending on additional important measures” in a final reconciliation law, including the return of all energy grants, including the extensive law on health, climate and taxes of the Democrats.

However, this idea has already triggered a setback from some legislators, whose districts of provisions in the laws benefit-in one thing in a reflection, in a reflection that will benefit members of Lila and Rubin-Red territories. Last year, a group of Republicans wrote to Johnson and asked him to “prioritize business and market security, while taking efforts into account that cancel or reform the law on inflation (IRA)”.

“I have a lot of respect for chip and understand where he comes from, but at the same time we don’t cut our noses despite our face,” said Rep. Buddy Carter (R-GA.), A signatories of the letter whose district has electric vehicle production. “Let’s look at these things very carefully and see if they do what we want.”

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