Former President Trump has a slight advantage over Vice President Harris with early voters Battleground statesNew polls show a promising sign for the Republican in the hard-fought presidential election campaign.
A Harvard CAPS/Harris survey found 48 percent of voters saying this cast their vote early In critical swing states, they voted for Trump, while 47 percent sided with Harris. Another 5 percent of respondents said they had decided to vote differently or had not yet voted.
Trump’s “swing state strategy is paying off,” said Mark Penn, co-director of the poll. Among all voters in key swing states, Trump’s 48 percent support is two points ahead of Harris’ 46 percent, the poll shows.
However, Harris leads among early voters nationwide by 8 percentage points, with 51 percent support compared to 43 percent for Trump. In general, 45 percent of voters said they would cast their ballot early, compared to 50 percent who plan to cast their vote on Election Day.
A petite handful of battleground states will be crucial to who wins the Oval Office this fall as Harris and Trump head into the home stretch of a tough race in less than a month election day.
Surveys have shown White House rivals blocked in tight races in Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania and elsewhere while acclaiming the swing states Rallies and campaign stops.
At the national level, a summary of the surveys compiled by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ shows the vice president leading her Republican rival by three points, with about 50 percent support to Trump’s 47 percent. The novel Harvard CAPS/Harris poll finds the race is even closer Harris is only one point ahead of the former president among registered voters overall.
The Harvard/Harris poll, conducted Oct. 11-13, surveyed 3,145 registered voters — including 2,596 likely voters and 898 voters in battleground states. The margin of error for the overall sample was plus or minus 1.8 percentage points.
Results were weighted by age, gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, education, political party, and political ideology as necessary to adjust for their true proportion in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
